Analysis written BY retail traders FOR retail traders
Important: Please be aware that the following expected figures are analysts estimates based upon the data available at the time this calendar was posted. As each data point draws nearer you should expect some fluctuation in these expectations and stay as up to date as you possibly can as to any renewed expectations immediately prior to the release of a data point.
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Monday 9th Jan
7am – German trade balance (November): previous reading was a surplus of €19.3 billion.
10am – eurozone unemployment rate (November): forecast to fall to 9.7% from 9.8%.
Tuesday 10th Jan
12.30am – Australia retail sales (November): forecast to rise 0.2% MoM from a 0.5% gain in October.
1.30am – China CPI, PPI (December): consumer price growth expected to be 2.2% YoY from 2.3% in November, while the MoM figure rises to 0.2% from 0.1%. Producer prices forecast to rise 4.8% YoY from 3.3%
5am – Japan consumer confidence (December): forecast to fall to 40.82 from 40.9
Wednesday 11th Jan
9.30am – UK trade balance, industrial and manufacturing production (November): manufacturing output expected to rise 1.96% YoY, while industrial production is forecast to fall 0.5%.
3.30pm – US EIA crude inventories (w/e 6 Jan): after a 7 million barrel drop last week, stockpiles are expected to fall by 80,000 barrels.
Thursday 12th Jan
9am – German annual GDP 2016): figure expected to rise to 2% from 1.7%.
10am – eurozone industrial production (November): forecast to rise by 0.5% MoM and 1.8% YoY, from a 0.1% fall and 0.6% rise respectively.
12.30pm – ECB meeting minutes: the record of the most recent meeting will show how the European Central Bank arrived at its decision to extend the length of its QE programme.
1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 7 January): 244K claims expected for the week, up from a previous figure of 235K.
Friday 13th Jan
1.30am – China trade balance (December): watch for the change in exports YoY.
1.30pm – US PPI, retail sales (December): sales forecast to rise 0.4% MoM from 0.1%, while PPI increases by 0.3% MoM from 0.4%.
3pm – US Michigan consumer sentiment (January, preliminary): forecast to rise to 99 from December’s final reading of 98.2.
Source: Clifton FX
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