Bank of England could cut interest rates to zero but not below, says Mark Carney

Bank governor dismisses setting negative interest rates even in the event of an economic downturn

The Bank of England could cut interest rates to zero, but will seek to avoid following Sweden, Denmark and the eurozone by setting negative interest rates to boost growth and inflation.

Mark Carney, the bank’s governor, said Threadneedle Street had “no intention and no interest” in implementing negative interest rates and would adopt the full range of the bank’s other powers to deal with a downturn in the economy.

He said: “If we were in a position where the economy needed additional stimulus … we could cut interest rates towards zero. We could engage in additional asset purchases, including a variety of assets.

“We could also provide a perspective where we could adjust our policy horizon – in other words we could shorten our policy horizon over which we wanted to return inflation to target,” he added.

Carney, who was responding to questions from MPs on the treasury select committee, said the world economy had entered a period of low growth and low interest rates and was likely to be prone to financial shocks.

He said that the central bank may need to respond with additional stimulus measures, but to protect the profitability of the UK’s banks and building societies, its monetary policy committee (MPC) would avoid cutting from the current base rate of 0.5% to below zero.

The message that negative interest rates would be a last resort comes ahead of an expected push by the European Central Bank to deploy the measure on a bigger scale at its next meeting to boost lending and growth in the eurozone.

Japan and Switzerland have also recently adopted negative interest rates in recent months.

Carney said negative interest rates would damage building societies, which would find it difficult making a profit on mortgage lending if they were forced to pay an interest rate on funds deposited at the central bank.

The aim of negative interest rates, which effectively puts a charge on savers depositing funds, is to discourage commercial banks from leaving cash on deposit with the central bank and lend it to businesses and consumers instead.

Some central banks have also pushed rates below zero to discourage foreign investors from depositing funds and putting pressure on the exchange rate. Sweden and Denmark have cut interest rates to negative to drive down the value of their currencies to maintain parity with the euro. Japan has explicitly cut rates to negative to depress the value of the yen.

Carney said building societies would find it difficult to make money in a negative interest rate environment.

“We take very seriously the potentially counter-productive impact on the building society sector and the financial sector more broadly.”

He said in Switzerland, mortgage rates have gone up despite the central bank setting negative interest rates. “So it is not clear that the domestic transmission mechanism has been effective.”

Deputy governor Minouche Shafik said she was sceptical that negative interest rates were passed on by banks to the benefit of customers.

“What we observe from that experience is that the effect is passed on to lower money market rates, but what we don’t see is that it gets passed on to deposit rates,” she said.


Original Article: The Guardian




Charles Clifton Forex Trader 02


Charles Clifton
Forex Trader // Coach // Signals Service // Seminars

M: 07871 515203
T: 0117 3 789 969